Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.000537 0.000611 0.000690 0.000779 0.000878 0.000983 0.001104
2026-01-25 0.000428 0.000532 0.000649 0.000792 0.000958 0.001146 0.001372
2026-02-01 0.000364 0.000480 0.000617 0.000791 0.001002 0.001248 0.001555
2026-02-08 0.000304 0.000424 0.000573 0.000767 0.001012 0.001306 0.001684
2026-02-15 0.000260 0.000381 0.000537 0.000748 0.001022 0.001360 0.001804
2026-02-22 0.000229 0.000352 0.000515 0.000743 0.001047 0.001431 0.001946
2026-03-01 0.000204 0.000328 0.000498 0.000742 0.001074 0.001503 0.002088
2026-03-08 0.000180 0.000303 0.000476 0.000731 0.001087 0.001556 0.002207
2026-03-15 0.000159 0.000279 0.000454 0.000719 0.001096 0.001601 0.002315
2026-03-22 0.000149 0.000272 0.000455 0.000737 0.001147 0.001705 0.002504
2026-03-29 0.000139 0.000261 0.000450 0.000748 0.001187 0.001793 0.002672
2026-04-05 0.000125 0.000245 0.000434 0.000739 0.001199 0.001843 0.002788
2026-04-12 0.000112 0.000229 0.000419 0.000732 0.001212 0.001894 0.002910
2026-04-19 0.000103 0.000220 0.000413 0.000739 0.001246 0.001978 0.003078
2026-04-26 0.000095 0.000209 0.000404 0.000739 0.001270 0.002046 0.003227
2026-05-03 0.000083 0.000191 0.000382 0.000717 0.001257 0.002060 0.003296
2026-05-10 0.000073 0.000176 0.000363 0.000699 0.001250 0.002081 0.003376
2026-05-17 0.000066 0.000166 0.000353 0.000694 0.001265 0.002134 0.003502
2026-05-24 0.000060 0.000158 0.000345 0.000693 0.001282 0.002192 0.003638
2026-05-31 0.000054 0.000148 0.000332 0.000683 0.001287 0.002229 0.003743
2026-06-07 0.000048 0.000138 0.000319 0.000671 0.001286 0.002259 0.003836
2026-06-14 0.000046 0.000136 0.000322 0.000688 0.001336 0.002367 0.004052
2026-06-21 0.000044 0.000133 0.000321 0.000698 0.001372 0.002456 0.004238